Hurricane Helene Could Bring "Catastrophic And Deadly" Storm Surge To Parts Of Florida Gulf Coast

Hurricane Helene was gaining strength in the Gulf of Mexico on Thursday on a path for the Big Bend area on Florida's Gulf Coast. The storm was forecast to crash ashore Thursday evening with "catastrophic and deadly" storm surge expected in some areas as well as strong, damaging winds, according to the National Hurricane Center in Miami.

"This is a life-threatening situation," the hurricane center said. "Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions."

Helene strengthened to a Category 2 storm Thursday morning and continued to gain strength with maximum sustained winds of 105 mph as of 11 a.m. EDT. It is expected to be a major hurricane — meaning a Category 3 or higher — when it makes landfall on Florida's northwestern coast Thursday evening.

After the storm makes landfall, it is expected to move inland over Georgia. Serious flooding is possible in the Southeast, with half a foot of rain forecast in Atlanta and 10-20 inches in a narrow swath of the southern Appalachian Mountains. 

Helene's outer bands were hammering the entire west coast of Florida on Thursday morning. In the Big Bend region south of Tallahassee, Gulf waters spilled over barriers and flooded roadways.

Gov. Ron DeSantis warned residents to move to higher ground as soon as possible. "Every minute that goes by brings us closer to having conditions that are going to be simply too dangerous to navigate," DeSantis said.

Several airports closed because of the storm, and airlines canceled hundreds of flights.

The huge storm's hurricane-force winds were extending outward up to 60 miles from its center and tropical-storm-force winds were extending outward up to 345 miles, the hurricane center said.

Ahead of Helene's expected arrival in Florida, this radar map shows rainfall across the state.

CBS News senior weather and climate producer David Parkinson called Helene a "gargantuan" storm and noted that Helene "will have a wind field so large that there will be a point (Thursday) afternoon where 60 of Florida's 67 counties will all experience winds gusting above tropical storm force" of 39 mph, with the western Panhandle an exception.

In a Category 3 storm, well-built framed homes in the hardest-hit coastline communities may incur major damage or removal of roof decking, the hurricane center said. Many trees will be snapped or uprooted, blocking roadways. Electricity and water will likely be unavailable for several days to even weeks after the storm passes.

DeSantis said Wednesday that thousands of lineworkers were coming to the state to restore power after the storm passes.

In Florida's Big Bend area, from Carrabelle to the Suwannee River, forecasters expected the water to reach 15-20 feet above ground if the storm surge's peak occurred at the same time as high tide. Other areas could see anywhere from 3-15 feet of water, the hurricane center warned. Fifteen to 20 feet of water would be enough to cover a two-story house, Parkinson pointed out.

"The water impacts are probably going to be the most impactful part of the storm, the most deadly part of the storm," Jamie Rhome, a deputy director at the hurricane center, told CBS News.

Watches and warnings were issued throughout Florida ahead of the storm.

President Biden and DeSantis declared emergencies in the state earlier in the week, and evacuation orders were issued in several counties. At the University of Tampa, officials were trying to evacuate all residential students by Wednesday afternoon.

DeSantis discouraged Floridians from traveling hundreds of miles from their homes to flee the storm because Helene was expected to move inland after making landfall. He instead urged people to move to higher ground in their own area by going to a friend or family member's home or to a shelter.

tates of emergency were also declared in Georgia, North and South Carolina and as far north as Virginia.

Florida preparing for Hurricane Helene

Along Florida's west coast, residents were preparing for the storm by boarding up windows, fueling up their vehicles and filling up sandbags before Helene's potentially dangerous hit.

In Tallahassee, Dorothy Richardson was getting ready to hunker down with six of her grandchildren.

"Either which way it go, I need to prepare," Richardson said. "Getting my sandbags … got my coal, got my lighter fluid, got my propane tank."

Russell King was preparing to evacuate his Mexico Beach home. He said the house barely withstood Hurricane Michael in 2018.

"We lost our shower, we lost our elevator, we lost all of our ground floor walls," King said. "We think we're OK with these now, but, you know, we don't know — 125 miles an hour, they get blown out."

Tallahassee Mayor John Dailey said the city is doubling its workforce with crews from other states coming in to help restore power and deliver aid to the area after Helene hits.

"It's very concerning," Dailey said. "I'm from Tallahassee, this is my hometown. We have never seen a storm of this magnitude that could possibly be a direct hit to Tallahassee."

Farther south, in Tampa, a makeshift wall was installed outside Tampa General Hospital to keep out water from the nearby bay. The area was expected to see 5-8 feet of storm surge. Officials said the wall held back about 2 1/2 feet of water last year when Hurricane Idalia hit.

Warm water in Gulf fuels hurricane

Record-warm water in the Gulf would act like jet fuel in intensifying the storm. Brian McNoldy, senior research associate at the University of Miami Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric, and Earth Science, recently noted that ocean heat content in the Gulf of Mexico is the highest on record. Warm water is a necessary ingredient to strengthen tropical systems.

Sea surface temperatures in the path of Helene are as warm as 89 degrees Fahrenheit — 2 to 4 degrees F above normal. These record water temperatures have been made significantly more likely by human-caused climate change, according to Climate Central. The North Atlantic Ocean as a whole has seen record warm temperatures in 2024, storing 90% of the excess heat from climate change produced by greenhouse gas pollution.